Foresight

XOM

Energy
Oil & Gas Integrated
Illustrative prices

Exxon Mobil Corporation

Integrated oil major; investing in low-carbon solutions (CCS, lithium, hydrogen) alongside core upstream.

$111.71

+0.49 (+0.44%) session

Demo quote — not a live market feed

Market cap

$490B

P/E

14.2

Div yield

3.40%

Volume

25M

Price history

+13.06% over 1Y

Illustrative demo series

At a glance

Next earningsOct 31, 2026
Fiscal periodQ3 2026
R&D spendTech + low-carbon development
R&D trendRising
Horizon score66

Primary R&D focus

Carbon capture & storage (CCS)
Lithium from oilfield brines
Upstream recovery & digital ops
66

Horizon score

Solid forward setup

Cash machine with disciplined capital returns; transition upside is optional, not priced as tech.

Forward brief

What matters next — not a recap of last quarter

Exxon’s near-term future is Guyana/Permian volumes and distributions; the longer future is whether CCS/lithium become real earnings lines. R&D is mostly core upstream with adjacent transition options. Next earnings: production + capex — and any FID color on low-carbon.

Energy
CCS
Upstream

Next earnings

Q3 2026 · Oct 31, 2026

3x recent beats

Expected EPS

$1.95

Expected revenue

$88B

Report date

Oct 31, 2026

Oil price realizations, Guyana production, and buyback pace.

What to watch on the call

  • Production volumes (Guyana, Permian)
  • Chemical margins
  • Capex guidance
  • Low-carbon project FID updates

Questions that actually matter

  • How fast do low-carbon projects need to scale to matter to valuation?
  • Is capital return sustainable across $60–$90 oil?

R&D deep dive

Not just “they invest in R&D” — in what, for when, and is it core?

Annual R&D / tech spend

Tech + low-carbon development

Spend trend

Rising

% of revenue

See filings

Core R&D still optimizes hydrocarbons; CCS is adjacent transition bet; lithium is exploratory. Transition spend is real but still small vs upstream cash engine — calibrate expectations.

Carbon capture & storage (CCS)

Adjacent
Mid-term (1–4 yr)

Hub projects and storage technology to decarbonize industrial emissions.

Strategic bet: Monetize policy incentives and industrial demand for abatement.

Lithium from oilfield brines

Exploratory
Long-term (4+ yr)

Direct lithium extraction projects for EV battery supply.

Strategic bet: Optional materials business adjacent to energy transition.

Upstream recovery & digital ops

Core business
Near-term (≤18 mo)

Reservoir modeling, automation, methane reduction tech.

Strategic bet: Keep barrels cheap and cleaner.

Strategic bets

Where management is placing multi-year chips

High-return barrels + selective transition

Medium risk

Fund advantaged upstream while building optional low-carbon cash flows.

Horizon · 5–15 years

Upcoming catalysts

Oct 31, 2026

Q3 earnings

Volumes + distributions

Forward risks

Oil price

High

Commodity downside hits FCF and multiple.

Policy transition risk

Medium

Faster demand destruction or carbon costs.